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North London News (NLN) > Sports News > Tottenham Hotspur News > Tottenham relegation risk stats in North London 2026
Tottenham Hotspur News

Tottenham relegation risk stats in North London 2026

News Desk
Last updated: April 13, 2026 3:21 am
News Desk
3 hours ago
Newsroom Staff -
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Tottenham relegation risk stats in North London 2026
Credit: Google Maps/Justin Setterfield/Getty Images

Key Points

  • Tottenham Hotspur are now in the Premier League relegation zone, with only seven league fixtures left in the 2025‑26 season.
  • Spurs have taken just 34 points from their last 40 Premier League games, accumulating only 13 from their last 22 outings.
  • The club are on a run of 13 consecutive league games without a win, their longest winless streak since 1935.
  • Tottenham have managed only two home wins in the Premier League this campaign, a record worse than every other club in the top two English divisions except relegated Championship side Sheffield Wednesday.
  • Opta’s probabilistic model gives Tottenham a relegation likelihood of roughly one‑third, with rival strugglers such as West Ham rated at a higher risk.
  • The difficulties are compounded by a brutal remaining fixture list, including away trips to Sunderland, Brighton and Wolverhampton, then home clashes against Aston Villa, Chelsea and Everton.
  • Analysts note that the club’s decline has been framed around a series of managerial changes, the stadium‑induced financial rigour, and a wave of long‑term injuries.

Tottenham Hotspur (North London News) April 13, 2026, are staring relegation in the face after a nightmarish slide that has bundled them into the Premier League drop zone with just seven games left in the 2025‑26 season. In the space of little more than a month, what had seemed an improbable nightmare for a club of their stature has hardened into a statistical possibility that broadcasters, analysts and bookmakers are now openly calculating.

Contents
  • Key Points
  • What the numbers say
  • Fixture list crunches confidence
  • How did things get this bad?
  • Fan reaction and media narrative
  • Background of the development
  • How this development can affect fans, sponsors and the wider Premier League

West Ham’s 4‑0 victory over Wolverhampton on Friday night at the London Stadium eased the Hammers briefly above Spurs in the table, but it also underscored how fragile Tottenham’s position has become. As reported by Ko Sung‑hwan of Chosun Ilbo (via its English‑sport service), that result meant that Tottenham have slipped into the relegation places for the first time this term, with only goal difference and a handful of tough fixtures standing between them and the Championship.

What the numbers say

One of the starkest ways to gauge Tottenham’s plight is through the numbers. According to data compiled and highlighted by ESPN’s soccer analysts, the club have taken just 34 points from their last 40 Premier League games, and only 13 from their last 22. That form‑line has been described as “cold, hard fact” by the outlet, an attempt to strip away nostalgia and emotion and show the sheer scale of the disarray.

Another alarming stat is that Tottenham have failed to win 13 successive league games, a run not seen since 1935. At home, where clubs usually lean on familiarity and support, the Spurs have only two league victories all season; only Sheffield Wednesday, who have already gone down, have a worse home record in the entire English league system.

Opta’s supercomputer model, which blends historical data, recent form and betting‑market odds, puts Tottenham’s relegation probability at around one‑third, even after taking into account their remaining fixtures. By contrast, West Ham are rated at roughly a 44 per cent chance of going down, underlining that Spurs are not alone in the quagmire, but that their position is far from safe.

Fixture list crunches confidence

The fixture list is widely cited as a major factor in Tottenham’s perilous situation. Ko Sung‑hwan reports that, with seven matches left, Tottenham must travel to Sunderland, then face Brighton and Wolverhampton on the road, before tackling Aston Villa, Chelsea and Everton at home in quick succession. Goal.com, cited in the same report, stresses that this “nightmarish schedule offers almost no margin for error,” especially given how thin and under‑performed the Spurs have been in 2026.

A separate analysis by Transfermarkt’s data team notes that Tottenham’s collapse has been most severe since matchday 19, when they played Brentford to a 0‑0 draw on 1 January 2026. From that point, they have recorded the lowest points tally in the league, winning none of their subsequent nine games and taking only four points from five draws. They have also conceded more goals than any other side in that period, yielding 18 while scoring just 10.

How did things get this bad?

Commentators and analysts have begun to trace the roots of Tottenham’s slide further back than the 2025‑26 season. Writing in an ESPN feature, journalist Gabriele Marcotti lays out several possible turning points: the financial tightening that followed the construction of the new stadium, the decision to sack Mauricio Pochettino just months after the 2019 Champions League final, the succession of managerial appointments starting with José Mourinho, and the 44‑day tenure of Igor Tudor.

Marcotti also notes that the club’s internal upheaval intensified at the start of the current campaign, when the Lewis family removed long‑serving chairman Daniel Levy from day‑to‑day control, a move that has been framed as part of a broader power shift behind the scenes. Persistent injury problems, with several key players missing large chunks of the season, have been cited as another drag on performance.

An earlier Yahoo Sports article from 12 March 2026, authored by an unnamed reporter, notes that Tottenham looked finished in the Champions League‑qualification race by that point, but that the shift into a full‑blown relegation battle was still unthinkable for many fans. “Tottenham finds itself unexpectedly embroiled in a relegation struggle,” the piece states, adding that back‑to‑back home defeats to Crystal Palace and Wolves left the club with only 29 points and just one point above West Ham in the drop zone.

ESPN’s later piece also observes that relative to financial clout, squad size and historical expectations, this Tottenham season has “more than a fair shout at being the worst by any team in English football history,” a phrase the outlet uses as a framing device rather than a definitive verdict.

Fan reaction and media narrative

For Tottenham supporters, the fall into the relegation zone has prompted a mixture of disbelief, anger and grim realism. The Sun’s football section, in a piece dated 16 January 2025 and penned by a staff reporter, had already warned that Spurs were on course for their worst season since their 1977 relegation, citing a record‑breaking number of Premier League defeats. That prognosis now appears prescient in light of the current standings.

Social‑media commentary and fan‑engagement posts, as tracked by outlets such as Transfermarkt and broader football‑results aggregators, show that the club’s “no‑win” sequence in 2026 has been used as a rallying cry by rival supporters and as a punchline in online jokes. However, official‑fan‑club statements uploaded to social‑media platforms stress that the focus remains on avoiding the “humiliation” of a drop to the Championship, regardless of the club’s recent Europa League success.

Background of the development

Tottenham’s current predicament did not erupt overnight. The club had already been flagged as a major under‑performer in the 2024‑25 season, when they finished in the bottom half of the table and recorded a then‑record‑high number of Premier League defeats. That campaign ended with Spurs 17th in the league, but ultimately above the relegation zone, meaning they kept their top‑flight status despite a “disheartening milestone” of 20 league losses.

2025‑26 began with hopes of a reset, but managerial instability continued. Igor Tudor’s brief spell, which lasted only 44 days before being terminated, left players, staff and supporters with little sense of long‑term direction. Transfermarkt data show that, since that managerial swerve, Tottenham’s form has been the worst in the league over a sustained stretch, with their points‑per‑game average tumbling below even those of other struggling sides.

The club’s financial model, built around the new stadium and the expectation of Champions League‑level revenues, has been repeatedly cited as a factor in the cautious transfer policy. Analysts have argued that limited spending on proven, high‑level additions, combined with a reliance on younger or less‑tested players, left the squad especially vulnerable when injuries and fatigue set in.

How this development can affect fans, sponsors and the wider Premier League

For Tottenham supporters, the primary concern is the tangible risk of a drop to the Championship, which would mean lost TV revenue, reduced commercial appeal and the near‑certainty of key players seeking moves away. Historically, even a single season in the second tier has had long‑lasting financial and reputational consequences for clubs, and given Tottenham’s status as one of the “big six,” the psychological impact on fans could be severe.

Sponsors and broadcast partners may also recalibrate their calculations. A club in the relegation battle, especially one with a struggling domestic record and a patchy commercial model, is likely to see less favourable terms in future deals unless the slide is reversed. For the Premier League itself, the prospect of a traditional “big‑six” team being relegated would be unprecedented in the modern era and could prompt fresh debate about financial fairness, squad‑depth rules and the balance between glamour clubs and smaller outfits.

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